Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.887531 1.000035 1.122718 1.266659 1.431201 1.613749 1.832072
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.708833 0.859263 1.036977 1.263359 1.545413 1.886982 2.334582
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.602277 0.765209 0.967917 1.240435 1.599933 2.061695 2.705726
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.545973 0.721324 0.949129 1.269637 1.713531 2.313317 3.196480
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.487093 0.664818 0.904209 1.254175 1.759321 2.472122 3.572086
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.448362 0.630142 0.883124 1.266075 1.840157 2.683297 4.042435
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.407887 0.588186 0.846428 1.249604 1.874754 2.826474 4.422435
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.375753 0.554823 0.818206 1.241369 1.918520 2.984780 4.840895
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.336923 0.507772 0.764912 1.188497 1.885294 3.015579 5.049421
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.319980 0.492566 0.758600 1.208410 1.970070 3.244878 5.620830
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.305523 0.479848 0.754730 1.231207 2.060729 3.491686 6.251208
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.289635 0.463413 0.743253 1.239684 2.126663 3.700775 6.835877
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.273265 0.445295 0.728136 1.241557 2.182941 3.901805 7.438391
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.260374 0.432027 0.720115 1.255150 2.261854 4.153220 8.174707
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.242280 0.408410 0.692297 1.230238 2.265792 4.261293 8.630499
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.234430 0.401987 0.693961 1.259462 2.375565 4.586939 9.588138
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.220539 0.383779 0.673069 1.244100 2.395862 4.734067 10.174858
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.211693 0.374009 0.666704 1.255899 2.471394 5.002352 11.070119
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.199752 0.357701 0.646969 1.239573 2.487100 5.144829 11.691301
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.189803 0.344431 0.631986 1.231411 2.518959 5.325282 12.428045
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.175207 0.321423 0.596766 1.179006 2.450585 5.274990 12.586853
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.170170 0.316456 0.596290 1.198743 2.542274 5.598644 13.741301
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.165736 0.312350 0.597177 1.221339 2.642418 5.952921 15.029278